Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 381
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1100 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southeast North Carolina
Far northeast South Carolina
* Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 1100 PM
until 500 AM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
SUMMARY...A couple of probable tornadoes have occurred over the past
1-2 hours along the North Carolina/South Carolina border vicinity. A
moist low-level influx in the presence of residually strong
low-level winds will likely continue to yield transient supercells
with some tornado risk into the overnight, although the overall
tornado potential should gradually diminish by daybreak Monday.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 35 statute miles
east and west of a line from 25 miles east northeast of Fayetteville
NC to 80 miles south of Fayetteville NC. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 380...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 16040.
...Guyer
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 381
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1100 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southeast North Carolina
Far northeast South Carolina
* Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 1100 PM
until 500 AM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
SUMMARY...A couple of probable tornadoes have occurred over the past
1-2 hours along the North Carolina/South Carolina border vicinity. A
moist low-level influx in the presence of residually strong
low-level winds will likely continue to yield transient supercells
with some tornado risk into the overnight, although the overall
tornado potential should gradually diminish by daybreak Monday.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 35 statute miles
east and west of a line from 25 miles east northeast of Fayetteville
NC to 80 miles south of Fayetteville NC. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 380...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 16040.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 381 TORNADO NC SC 170300Z - 170900Z
AXIS..35 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25ENE FAY/FAYETTEVILLE NC/ - 80S FAY/FAYETTEVILLE NC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 30NM E/W /48SSE RDU - 46ESE FLO/
WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500.MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 16040.
LAT...LON 35117784 33817826 33817948 35117908
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 381 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 381
VALID 170645Z - 170740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MOSIER..09/17/18
ATTN...WFO...ILM...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 381
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC017-019-047-051-155-163-170740-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLADEN BRUNSWICK COLUMBUS
CUMBERLAND ROBESON SAMPSON
$$
SCC051-170740-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HORRY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 381
VALID 170435Z - 170540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..09/17/18
ATTN...WFO...ILM...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 381
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC017-019-047-051-155-163-170540-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLADEN BRUNSWICK COLUMBUS
CUMBERLAND ROBESON SAMPSON
$$
SCC051-170540-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HORRY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (<5%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.